• DocumentCode
    1927952
  • Title

    A New Fuzzy Time-Series Based on Two Factors to Predict Taiex

  • Author

    Cheng, Ching-Hsue ; Chen, Tai-Liang ; Huang, Chen-Chi

  • Author_Institution
    Nat. Yunlin Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Taipei
  • Volume
    3
  • fYear
    2007
  • fDate
    19-22 Aug. 2007
  • Firstpage
    1365
  • Lastpage
    1370
  • Abstract
    In stock markets, many factors such as financial reports, market news and technical analysis indicators are considered to influence stock price. In this paper, we propose a new fuzzy time-series model employing two factors (stock price and a technical analysis indicator of trading volume) to forecast stock index. In this paper, we employ actual trading data of Taiwan stock index (TAIEX) as experimental dataset and two multiple-factor fuzzy time-series models, Chen´s (2000) and Huarng´s (2005), as comparison models. The experimental results indicate that our model outperforms the listing models.
  • Keywords
    forecasting theory; fuzzy set theory; stock markets; time series; TAIEX; Taiwan stock index; multiple-factor fuzzy time-series models; stock index forecasting; stock markets; stock price; technical analysis indicator; trading volume; Cybernetics; Information management; Information science; Machine learning; Mathematics; Stock markets; Fuzzy linguistic variable; Fuzzy time-series Model; forecasting TAIEX;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2007 International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hong Kong
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-0973-0
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-0973-0
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICMLC.2007.4370357
  • Filename
    4370357