Title :
Risk analysis of China stock market based on VAR model
Author :
Ma, Xinjie ; Yang, Yongsheng
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Econ. & Manage., Yunnan Normal Univ., Kunming, China
Abstract :
By the impact of global economic integration, the global financial environment and the financial market is undergoing significant changes, with more and more violent fluctuations in the financial system, financial risk management has gradually become the focus of concern in the financial sector. VAR model is one of the most important ways to measure risk, this paper is from the definition of the VAR model, calculation method and the risk control of stock portfolio, makes an empirical study on the Shanghai index, and chooses the five samples for portfolio risk research. Via the empirical analysis, we found VAR model can predict the risk of China´s stock market accurately, so it has great significance to the risk measure of China´s stock market. Thus, the analysis of the investment risks in the stock market provides a great reference value for the investors.
Keywords :
economics; financial management; investment; risk analysis; stock markets; China stock market; Shanghai index; VAR model; financial market; financial risk management; financial sector; financial system; global economic integration; global financial environment; investment risk; portfolio risk research; risk analysis; risk control; stock portfolio; Analytical models; Gaussian distribution; Indexes; Investments; Portfolios; Reactive power; Standards; Back Testing; Shanghai Composite Index; VAR model; portfolio;
Conference_Titel :
Information Management, Innovation Management and Industrial Engineering (ICIII), 2012 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Sanya
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-1932-4
DOI :
10.1109/ICIII.2012.6339679