DocumentCode :
1971422
Title :
Comparison of Different Approaches to Scientists and Technicians Forecasting
Author :
Li, Wuwei
Author_Institution :
Zhengzhou Inst. of Aeronaut. Ind. Manage., Zhengzhou, China
fYear :
2010
fDate :
22-23 June 2010
Firstpage :
341
Lastpage :
344
Abstract :
Based on the statistical data during the period from 2003 to 2008 released by Henan Statistical Bureau in China, this paper focused on forecasting the amount of the scientists and technicians of Henan province in China, using GM (1, 1) model and regression model. The result of this empirical study is that the grey prediction theory can fit the scientists and technicians amount development precisely in Henan province. The accuracy of the prediction result from GM (1, 1) model is higher than that from regression model, and corresponds with a distinction, which the grey theory can meet expectations with small samples or data. Research results show that this model established in this paper could provide valuable information for policy makers in their efforts to make appropriate technological policies.
Keywords :
economic forecasting; forecasting theory; grey systems; regression analysis; China; GM model; Henan Statistical Bureau; Henan province; grey prediction theory; regression model; scientists; statistical data; technicians; technological policy; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Data models; Economics; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; 1) method; GM (1; Grey theory; Henan province; Regression model; Scientists and technicians;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Computing and Cognitive Informatics (ICICCI), 2010 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Kuala Lumpur
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6640-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6641-2
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICICCI.2010.104
Filename :
5565965
Link To Document :
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