Title :
Chaotic characteristic analysis and short-term prediction of power daily load
Author :
Liu, Ping ; Lu, Ling ; Liu, Shujun
Author_Institution :
Electr. Eng. & Renewable Energy Sch., China Three Gorges Univ., Yichang, China
Abstract :
The chaotic characteristics of power system daily load sequence in the certain city is analyzed and calculated based on saturated correlation dimension method, it give a conclusion that power load time series belongs to chaotic series. Short-term power load forecasting is accomplished by using local linear prediction method based on phase space reconstruction theory. The prediction results show that the prediction method has high prediction accuracy and conformity rate.
Keywords :
correlation methods; load forecasting; time series; chaotic characteristic analysis; chaotic series; local linear prediction method; phase space reconstruction theory; power load time series; power system daily load sequence; saturated correlation dimension method; short-term power load forecasting; short-term power system daily load prediction; Chaos; Correlation; Delay; Image reconstruction; Load forecasting; Power system stability; Time series analysis; Chaotic sequnce; Load forecasting; Phase space reconstruction;
Conference_Titel :
Electrical and Control Engineering (ICECE), 2011 International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Yichang
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-8162-0
DOI :
10.1109/ICECENG.2011.6057116