Title :
Urban Short-Term Traffic Forecasting Based on Grey Neural Network Combined Model: Macao Experience
Author :
Shi Yong-dong ; Pan Yuan-Yuan ; Li Jian-qing
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Manage. & Adm., Macau Univ. of Sci. & Technol., Macao
Abstract :
The paper presents three kinds of grey neural network combined model for short-term prediction of urban traffic parameters, which are parallel grey neural network, series grey neural network, and inlaid grey neural network. They are employed to forecast a real vehicle speed in Barbosa road of Macao with satisfied precision. The experiment shows that the above three kinds of mode are feasible and effective in comparison with single model GM(1,1) and neural network. And actual traffic speed varies smoothly or not will influence significantly the accuracy for forecasting.
Keywords :
grey systems; neural nets; queueing theory; traffic engineering computing; Macao experience; inlaid grey neural network; parallel grey neural network combined model; series grey neural network; urban short-term traffic forecasting; Computer network management; Load forecasting; Neural networks; Paper technology; Power system modeling; Predictive models; Technology forecasting; Technology management; Telecommunication traffic; Traffic control;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Systems and Applications, 2009. ISA 2009. International Workshop on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3893-8
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-3894-5
DOI :
10.1109/IWISA.2009.5073229