• DocumentCode
    2050383
  • Title

    Weighted parallel algorithm to improve the performance of short-term wind power forecasting

  • Author

    Jie Shi ; Wei-Jen Lee

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Energy, Power & Mech. Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
  • fYear
    2012
  • fDate
    22-26 July 2012
  • Firstpage
    1
  • Lastpage
    6
  • Abstract
    The increased integration of wind power into the electric grid poses new challenges due to its fluctuation and volatility. Accurate short term wind power forecasting is one of the most effective ways to mitigate these challenges. As every forecasting algorithm has its advantages and weaknesses, the forecasting accuracy varies when these models are applied to different wind farms due to non-uniform characteristics of wind patterns. Therefore, a weighted parallel algorithm which combines the individual forecasting models together is proposed. For variable data from a wind farm, the model can adjust and optimize portion of individual models. Compared with each single model, the weighted parallel algorithm has better robust adaptation which can improve the forecasting precision.
  • Keywords
    load forecasting; power grids; wind power plants; electric grid; forecasting precision; nonuniform characteristics; robust adaptation; short term wind power forecasting; weighted parallel algorithm; wind farm; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Forecasting; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Wind power generation; Wind speed; Artificial Neural Network; Model Optimization; Short Term Wind Power Forecasting; Support Vector Machines; Weighted Parallel Algorithm;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2012 IEEE
  • Conference_Location
    San Diego, CA
  • ISSN
    1944-9925
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4673-2727-5
  • Electronic_ISBN
    1944-9925
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/PESGM.2012.6344992
  • Filename
    6344992