Mathematical model to estimate the probability of formation of the meteor trails with a specular reflection

In this paper a mathematical model meant for the estimation of formation probability of meteor trails with a point of specular reflection for the arbitrary point of radio visibility zone, based on the zenith angles probability distribution knowledge and the formulaic relations is proposed, which make possible to set the entry point of a meteor and the meteor trail orientation in the space for the given zenith angle. The model allows the one to determine the most probable area of the formation of meteor trails suitable for the communication.