An intelligent DSS to anticipate the impacts of wildcards on the tourism industry in Egypt

Research on the future of the Egyptian tourism industry has become the subject of countless studies and debates. Different wildcards have high impacts on this crucial industry and ultimately of the future of the Egyptian national income. This paper is about an Intelligent Decision Support System (DSS) that specifically focuses on assessing the impacts of wildcards on the future revenues of the Egyptian tourism industry. The developed DSS integrates both qualitative and quantitative DSS methods (called the enhanced Trend Impact Analysis and Real-Time Delphi Survey). Also, the developed analytical tool is used to generate various scenarios (not just a single forecast) by modifying the extrapolation of historical trends in view of tourism experts.