Title :
Reliability probability evaluation of wind turbine based on Monte-Carlo simulation
Author :
Jiang Cheng ; Zhang Jianhua ; Yu Lei
Author_Institution :
NCEP Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
The three-state Markov equation is built considering run, outage and derating state of wind turbine. The wind turbine reliability of probability assessment has made using Monte Carlo method considering the randomness of wind speed and the failure rate itself. The simulation based on 1.5MW wind turbine is made; the result verified the effectiveness and adaptability of the proposed model and assessment method.
Keywords :
Markov processes; Monte Carlo methods; power generation reliability; probability; wind power plants; wind turbines; Monte-Carlo simulation; power 1.5 MW; reliability probability evaluation; three-state Markov equation; wind speed; wind turbine; Monte Carlo method; probability assessment; three-state; wind turbine;
Conference_Titel :
Electricity Distribution (CICED), 2012 China International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4673-6065-4
Electronic_ISBN :
2161-7481
DOI :
10.1109/CICED.2012.6508638
