DocumentCode :
2107370
Title :
The Improved Markov Error Correcting Method in Gray SVM for Power Load Forecasting
Author :
Niu, Dongxiao ; Lv, Jia Liang ; Zhang, Xingzhi
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding
fYear :
2008
fDate :
21-22 Dec. 2008
Firstpage :
793
Lastpage :
796
Abstract :
As the power load forecasting sequence has stochastic growth and nonlinear wave characteristics, grey SVM can effective reflect the growth properties of the sequence and fit the nonlinear relation. Markov chain can easily embody the random characteristic of system by complex factors, so the Markov chain error correction method was introduce in this paper, the whole forecasting precision of the sequence was optimized, and the transfer matrix for the forecasting sequence was decided, then the accuracy for power load forecasting was greatly improved. Through the demonstration test, the precision is better than ingenuous grey SVM, the method in this paper have feasibility in practice.
Keywords :
Markov processes; error correction; grey systems; load forecasting; matrix algebra; optimisation; power engineering computing; random processes; random sequences; support vector machines; Markov error correcting method; gray SVM; nonlinear relation; nonlinear wave characteristics; optimization problem; power load forecasting; random characteristic; support vector machine; transfer matrix; Computer errors; Error correction; Information technology; Load forecasting; Optimization methods; Predictive models; Stochastic systems; Support vector machines; Technology forecasting; Testing; Power load; SVM algorithm; markov chain;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Information Technology Application Workshops, 2008. IITAW '08. International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Shanghai
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3505-0
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/IITA.Workshops.2008.88
Filename :
4732056
Link To Document :
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