DocumentCode
2118097
Title
Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Combination Forecasting Model
Author
Xiaoqiang, Nan ; Qunzhan, Li ; Junxiang, Yu ; Zhiyu, You
Author_Institution
Sch. of Electr. Eng., Southwest Jiaotong Univ., Chengdu, China
Volume
2
fYear
2010
fDate
7-8 Aug. 2010
Firstpage
185
Lastpage
189
Abstract
The accuracy of wind speed forecasting is related to the wind power scheduling. When large-scale wind power connected grid, it also affects the stability of the grid. This paper applies time series model and Back Propagation (BP) neural network model to predict wind speed. Finally, a combination model of time series and BP neural network is proposed. In the combination model, the inputs of BP neural network are made up of historical data and residual errors calculated by time series model. The model can be more accurately in the short-time wind speed forecasting. And then shows an actual example.
Keywords
backpropagation; neural nets; power engineering computing; power grids; scheduling; time series; wind power; backpropagation; grid stability; large scale wind power connected grid; neural network model; short time wind speed forecasting; time series combination model; wind power scheduling; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Wind speed; BP neural network model; combination model; time series model; wind speed forecasting;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Science and Management Engineering (ISME), 2010 International Conference of
Conference_Location
Xi´an
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-7669-5
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-7670-1
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ISME.2010.45
Filename
5573850
Link To Document