DocumentCode :
2118674
Title :
Bayesian Network Inference on Risks of Construction Schedule-Cost
Author :
Liu, Junyan
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Eng. Manage., Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China
Volume :
2
fYear :
2010
fDate :
7-8 Aug. 2010
Firstpage :
15
Lastpage :
18
Abstract :
There is an important relationship between construction costs and schedule, a more appropriate schedule causes less cost risks. In such cases, a more acceptable construction cost-risk analysis model that takes into account of schedule risks should be applied. In this paper, the construction schedule-cost risk is defined and based on Bayesian network a schedule-cost risk analysis model is established which can process qualitative information and quantitative information, especially can reveal the relationship between schedule-cost risk factors easier. And Bayesian network inference is utilized to analyze and forecast the risks of construction schedule-cost, which helps decision-makers to control the schedule risks and cost risks.
Keywords :
belief networks; construction; costing; decision making; scheduling; Bayesian network inference; construction risks; construction schedule-cost; decision-makers; schedule-cost risk analysis; Artificial intelligence; Bayesian methods; Construction industry; Delay; Meteorology; Risk analysis; Schedules; Bayesian network; Construction costs; Inference; Risk analysis; Schedule;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Information Science and Management Engineering (ISME), 2010 International Conference of
Conference_Location :
Xi´an
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7669-5
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7670-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISME.2010.120
Filename :
5573874
Link To Document :
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