Title :
An overall framework for generating simulation-based cycle time-throughput curves
Author :
Park, Sungmin ; Mackulak, Gerald T. ; Fowler, John W.
Author_Institution :
Managerial ResearchTeam, Korea Gas Corp., Kyonggi, South Korea
Abstract :
A simulation-based cycle time-throughput curve requires a large amount of simulation output data, and an experimentation framework is needed to enhance the precision and accuracy of a simulation-based cycle time-throughput curve. In this research, approaches and solutions are presented on three prime issues: (1) the establishment of the simulation sampling strategies; (2) the determination of the simulation sequences; and (3) the determination of the length of a simulation run. First, strategic simulation sampling guidelines are proposed as to how to use a fixed amount of samples when trying to generate a precise and accurate cycle time-throughput curve for complex systems. Second, in order to provide good references for the sequential experiments to generate precise simulation-based cycle time-throughput curves, a set of discrete design points is ranked sequentially. Third, a sequential stopping rule is developed to determine the length of a simulation run based on a time series forecasting procedure
Keywords :
discrete event simulation; forecasting theory; management; production control; strategic planning; time series; discrete design points; sequential stopping rule; simulation output data; simulation run; simulation sampling strategies; simulation sequences; simulation-based cycle time-throughput curve; strategic simulation guidelines; time series forecasting; Computational modeling; Discrete event simulation; Guidelines; Predictive models; Production facilities; Productivity; Sampling methods; Throughput; Traffic control; Virtual manufacturing;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2001. Proceedings of the Winter
Conference_Location :
Arlington, VA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7307-3
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2001.977431
