Title :
Evaluation on Forecasting Algorithms of Time Series
Author :
Lang, Rongling ; Lv, Yongle ; Cui, Qunfa
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Electron. & Inf. Eng., Beijing Univ. of Aeronaut. & Astronaut., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Time series forecasting exists in a lot of fields, and many forecasting algorithms were proposed at present. How to evaluate forecasting algorithm is requested in algorithm analysis. The techniques of evaluation of forecasting are studied here, and a novel measure, relative degree of association, is also proposed to evaluate forecasting algorithm. Some experimental results using these measures give performances of these measures in evaluating forecasting algorithms.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; time series; novel measure; relative degree-of-association; time series forecasting algorithm; Algorithm design and analysis; Data mining; Economic forecasting; Extraterrestrial measurements; Finance; Pattern analysis; Performance evaluation; Root mean square; Time measurement; Time series analysis;
Conference_Titel :
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4639-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5303080