Title :
Heterogeneity in commuter departure time decision: a prospect theoretic approach
Author :
Senbil, Metin ; Kitamura, Ryuichi
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Urban Manage., Kyoto Univ.
Abstract :
We investigate the applicability of prospect theory in the context of morning commutes. We extend the analysis adopted in our previous study to account for both observed and unobserved heterogeneity across commuters. Two decision frames with multiple reference points and a maximum satisfaction point (preferred arrival time, PAT) are assumed to exist for commuters. One of the decision frames involves a quasigain region where commuters value gains as if they are losses. This decision frame is fully compatible with prospect theory, while the other yielded results which are incompatible with the theory in the case of losses
Keywords :
decision theory; statistical analysis; time management; traffic engineering computing; arrival time; commuter departure time decision; decision frame; morning commute context; multiple reference point; observed heterogeneity; prospect theory; quasigain region; Cities and towns; Clocks; Cost accounting; Econometrics; Employment; Engineering management; History; Transportation; Uncertainty; Utility theory;
Conference_Titel :
Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, 2003. ISUMA 2003. Fourth International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
College Park, MD
Print_ISBN :
0-7695-1997-0
DOI :
10.1109/ISUMA.2003.1236134