A Survey for Real Estate Early Warning Methods

Author

He, Li-Heng ; Bao, Qi-Sheng ; Wang, Qing

Author_Institution

Coll. of Geogr. & Ocean Sci., Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China

fYear

2010

fDate

24-26 Aug. 2010

Firstpage

1

Lastpage

6

Abstract

Based on the early warning theory of the real estate and divided by the science classification, presently used real estate early warning methods are generalized as the business cycle & quantitative statistic method, econometric method and non-linearity & systems approach. And the business cycle analysis, pattern recognition, ARCH, Hedonic, ANN, SWARM methods are summarized. The results show that mathematical statistic method stresses in quantitative relation of indices. Econometric model emphasizes the economical relationship of indices. And system approach focus on the overall impact of individual activities. Therefore all methods should be applied synthetically.

Keywords

economic cycles; economic forecasting; neural nets; pattern recognition; real estate data processing; statistical analysis; ANN method; ARCH method; Hedonic method; SWARM method; business cycle; business cycle analysis; early warning theory; econometric method; mathematical statistic method; nonlinearity approach; pattern recognition; quantitative statistic method; real estate early warning method; system approach; Alarm systems; Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Economics; Indexes; Object oriented modeling; Pattern recognition;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Management and Service Science (MASS), 2010 International Conference on

Conference_Location

Wuhan

Print_ISBN

978-1-4244-5325-2

Electronic_ISBN

978-1-4244-5326-9

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/ICMSS.2010.5575771

Filename

5575771