DocumentCode :
2139391
Title :
Time series forecasting based on the empirical mode decomposition multi-dimensional Taylor network model
Author :
Bo Zhou ; Hong-Sen Yan
Author_Institution :
Key Lab. of Meas. & Control of CSE, Southeast Univ., Nanjing, China
fYear :
2013
fDate :
23-25 July 2013
Firstpage :
1194
Lastpage :
1198
Abstract :
A method of the empirical mode decomposition multidimensional Taylor network for establishing the dynamics model and its parameters identification is proposed for time series forecasting. By the empirical mode decomposition algorithm, the time series are decomposed into one residue signal and several intrinsic mode function signals. The multi-dimensional Taylor network models are established for sub-time series with different intrinsic mode functions, respectively. The model parameters are trained by conjugate gradient method, and then the models are used for forecasting. Predictions of all the models are superimposed to obtain the predicted value of the original time series. Experimental results show this method for financial time series forecasting has high prediction accuracy.
Keywords :
conjugate gradient methods; finance; parameter estimation; time series; conjugate gradient method; dynamics model; empirical mode decomposition multidimensional Taylor network model; financial time series forecasting; intrinsic mode function signals; parameters identification; residue signal; subtime series; Artificial neural networks; Autoregressive processes; Data models; Empirical mode decomposition; Forecasting; Predictive models; Time series analysis; forecasting; multi-dimensional Taylor network; the empirical mode decompositiont; time series;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Natural Computation (ICNC), 2013 Ninth International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Shenyang
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICNC.2013.6818159
Filename :
6818159
Link To Document :
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