DocumentCode
2150966
Title
Based on dynamic regression model medium and long-term demand forecast and analysis of China´s electric power
Author
Nan, Liu
Author_Institution
Department of Economics and Management, Daqing Normal University, China
fYear
2010
fDate
4-6 Dec. 2010
Firstpage
1053
Lastpage
1056
Abstract
Based on comprehensive analysis of the current methods on medium and long-term prediction of electric power demand, a new model-dynamic regression model is represented to forecast and analyze China´s electricity demands. Combined with time series method and multivariate regression method, this model can be more comprehensive, reasonable to reflect the operational laws and long-term trends of electric economic system. Through applying the software Eviews6.0 to analyze the case, forecasting model is more stable and more accurate than ever. In conclusion, this model is more suitable for forecasting and analyzing the medium and long-term demand trends in China´s electric power.
Keywords
Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Correlation; Economics; Electricity; Power systems; Predictive models; dynamic regression model; electricity demand; medium and long-term prediction; power economy;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Information Science and Engineering (ICISE), 2010 2nd International Conference on
Conference_Location
Hangzhou, China
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-7616-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICISE.2010.5691369
Filename
5691369
Link To Document