• DocumentCode
    2150966
  • Title

    Based on dynamic regression model medium and long-term demand forecast and analysis of China´s electric power

  • Author

    Nan, Liu

  • Author_Institution
    Department of Economics and Management, Daqing Normal University, China
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    4-6 Dec. 2010
  • Firstpage
    1053
  • Lastpage
    1056
  • Abstract
    Based on comprehensive analysis of the current methods on medium and long-term prediction of electric power demand, a new model-dynamic regression model is represented to forecast and analyze China´s electricity demands. Combined with time series method and multivariate regression method, this model can be more comprehensive, reasonable to reflect the operational laws and long-term trends of electric economic system. Through applying the software Eviews6.0 to analyze the case, forecasting model is more stable and more accurate than ever. In conclusion, this model is more suitable for forecasting and analyzing the medium and long-term demand trends in China´s electric power.
  • Keywords
    Analytical models; Biological system modeling; Correlation; Economics; Electricity; Power systems; Predictive models; dynamic regression model; electricity demand; medium and long-term prediction; power economy;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Information Science and Engineering (ICISE), 2010 2nd International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Hangzhou, China
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-7616-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICISE.2010.5691369
  • Filename
    5691369