DocumentCode :
2163455
Title :
Application of Grey LS-SVM in Mid and Long Term Power Load Forecasting
Author :
Zhang Fuwei ; Chen Wei
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Bus. Adm., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
fYear :
2009
fDate :
20-22 Sept. 2009
Firstpage :
1
Lastpage :
4
Abstract :
Mid-long term load is affected by many factors, it is difficult to forecast by a single method. This paper analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of grey forecasting method and least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) respectively, proposes a new forecasting model of grey least squares support vector machine which develops the advantages of accumulation generation in the grey forecasting method, weakens the effect of stochastic disturbing factors in original sequence, strengthens the regularity of data and avoids theoretical defects existing in the grey forecasting model. The simulation results show that this model performs well in generalization ability and forecasting precision.
Keywords :
grey systems; least squares approximations; load forecasting; support vector machines; accumulation generation; grey LS-SVM; grey forecasting; least squares support vector machine; mid-long term load; power load forecasting; stochastic disturbing factors; Differential equations; Least squares methods; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Power system modeling; Power system stability; Predictive models; Quadratic programming; Statistical learning; Support vector machines;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4639-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304396
Filename :
5304396
Link To Document :
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