Title :
Research on Investment Projects Risk Evaluation Based on Unascertained Measure Model
Author :
Chen, J.F. ; Zhao, S.H. ; Weng, Y.
Author_Institution :
State Key Lab. of Hydrol.-Water Resources & Hydraulic Eng., Hohai Univ., Nanjing, China
Abstract :
Risk evaluation of water conservancy investment projects is a complicated and unascertained system decision making problem. Combining with the character of water conservancy investment projects risk evaluation, index system of risk evaluation is established and the method of computing evaluation index weight which combines analytic hierarchy process method and information entropy method is built. The model of water conservancy investment projects risk evaluation based on unascertained measure model is established. The case shows that the unascertained measure model is applicable for risk evaluation of water conservancy investment projects. It is also helpful for risk management to water conservancy investment projects.
Keywords :
decision making; investment; project management; risk management; water conservation; analytic hierarchy process; information entropy; investment project risk evaluation; risk evaluation index system; unascertained measure model; water conservancy investment project; Decision making; Hydrologic measurements; Information entropy; Investments; Mathematical model; Project management; Risk analysis; Risk management; Water conservation; Water resources;
Conference_Titel :
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4639-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304411
