Title :
Risk Evaluation of Power Supplying Enterprises Based on Principal Component Analysis and BP Neural Network
Author :
Zeng Ming ; Ju Yong ; Song Xinming ; Tian Kuo
Author_Institution :
Res. Advisory Center of Energy & Electr. Econ., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
With the development and reformation of China´s power market, the environment of production and management is changing fundamentally. Therefore, considering the risk character of power supply enterprises, an evaluation index system to evaluate the risk in power supply enterprises is established. Then by combining PCA (principal component analysis) and BP neural network together, a risk evaluation model is put forward. At last, we give a test, the result shows that this method can be adopted in the risk assessment of power supply enterprises and it could give an accurate judgement of risk management.
Keywords :
backpropagation; neural nets; power markets; power system management; principal component analysis; risk management; China´s power market; backpropagation neural network; evaluation index system; power supplying enterprises; principal component analysis; risk evaluation; Energy management; Environmental management; Neural networks; Power markets; Power supplies; Power system management; Power system modeling; Principal component analysis; Production; Risk management;
Conference_Titel :
Management and Service Science, 2009. MASS '09. International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Wuhan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4638-4
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-4639-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICMSS.2009.5304433