Title :
Better selection of the best
Author :
Ma, Huaiyu Harry ; Willemain, Thomas R.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Decision Sci. & Eng. Syst., Rensselaer Polytech. Inst., Troy, NY, USA
Abstract :
We present a new method of selecting the best of several competing system designs on the basis of expected steady-state performance. The method uses a new form of time-series bootstrap in a sequential hypothesis testing framework. We illustrate the efficiency of the new method by comparing its results against the current state of the art in a series of simulation experiments. The new method achieves equal or greater probability of correct selection of the best system with substantial savings in the number of simulation observations required for the decision.
Keywords :
discrete event simulation; probability; time series; probability; sequential hypothesis testing; steady-state performance; time-series bootstrap; Delay estimation; Design methodology; Discrete event simulation; Mission critical systems; Personal communication networks; Sequential analysis; Sorting; Steady-state; Systems engineering and theory;
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2004. Proceedings of the 2004 Winter
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8786-4
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2004.1371371