Cost methodology for the Joint Direct Attack Munition COEA

This paper discusses the cost ground rules, assumptions, and methodology of the Joint Direct Attack Munition (JDAM) Cost Operational Effectiveness Analysis (COEA) for a Demonstration and Validation (Dem/Val) decision, Milestone 1. This was the first COEA performed for JDAM with the Milestone 0 having occurred on 8 June 1992. JDAM is a Joint Air Force/Navy Program (under Air Force Leadership) to develop and procure precision munitions capable of autonomous guidance from on or off-axis deliveries against fixed or relocatable targets under adverse environmental conditions. JDAM is an Acquisition Category (ACAT) I program. The delivery aircraft used in the COEA were the B-1B, B-2, F-15E, F-16, F-18 and the A-6. The munition alternatives analyzed were the unguided general purpose MK-82 (500 lb warhead), MK-83 (1000 lb warhead), MK-84 (2000 lb warhead) and BLU-109 (improved 2000 lb warhead), the Guided Bomb Unit (GBU)-24 (with a 2000 lb warhead) and the Air-to-Ground Missiles (AGM)-65 and 130 precision-guided bomb (with a 2000 lb warhead). The Measures of Effectiveness (MOE) were based on the “kill” of an array of targets suitable for the MK series of munitions and the aircraft attrition probability. This paper examines how the cost analysis was accomplished and merged with the measures of effectiveness, what cost data was obtained, and how this data was normalized and used in the results. Limitations, issues and risk areas were addressed and the sensitivities of cost and effectiveness were analyzed