DocumentCode
2178400
Title
Update on economic approach to simulation selection problems
Author
Chick, Stephen E. ; Gans, Noah
Author_Institution
Technol. & Oper. Manage. Area, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France
fYear
2008
fDate
7-10 Dec. 2008
Firstpage
297
Lastpage
304
Abstract
This paper summarizes new analytical and empirical results for the economic approach to simulation selection problems that we introduced two years ago. The approach seeks to help managers to maximize the expected net present value (NPV) of system design decisions that are informed by simulation. It considers the time value of money, the cost of simulation sampling, and the time and cost of developing simulation tools. This economic approach to decision making with simulation is therefore an alternative to the statistical guarantees or probabilistic convergence results of other commonly-used approaches to simulation optimization. Empirical results are promising. This paper also retracts a claim that was made regarding the existence of Gittins¿ indices for these problems - their existence remains an open question.
Keywords
decision making; economics; operations research; optimisation; statistical analysis; decision making; economic approach; expected net present value; simulation selection problems; Analytical models; Convergence; Costs; Decision making; Delay effects; Financial management; Gallium nitride; Probability; Sampling methods; Technology management;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
Conference_Location
Austin, TX
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-2707-9
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-2708-6
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2008.4736081
Filename
4736081
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