• DocumentCode
    2178400
  • Title

    Update on economic approach to simulation selection problems

  • Author

    Chick, Stephen E. ; Gans, Noah

  • Author_Institution
    Technol. & Oper. Manage. Area, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    7-10 Dec. 2008
  • Firstpage
    297
  • Lastpage
    304
  • Abstract
    This paper summarizes new analytical and empirical results for the economic approach to simulation selection problems that we introduced two years ago. The approach seeks to help managers to maximize the expected net present value (NPV) of system design decisions that are informed by simulation. It considers the time value of money, the cost of simulation sampling, and the time and cost of developing simulation tools. This economic approach to decision making with simulation is therefore an alternative to the statistical guarantees or probabilistic convergence results of other commonly-used approaches to simulation optimization. Empirical results are promising. This paper also retracts a claim that was made regarding the existence of Gittins¿ indices for these problems - their existence remains an open question.
  • Keywords
    decision making; economics; operations research; optimisation; statistical analysis; decision making; economic approach; expected net present value; simulation selection problems; Analytical models; Convergence; Costs; Decision making; Delay effects; Financial management; Gallium nitride; Probability; Sampling methods; Technology management;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Austin, TX
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2707-9
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-2708-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2008.4736081
  • Filename
    4736081