DocumentCode :
2178400
Title :
Update on economic approach to simulation selection problems
Author :
Chick, Stephen E. ; Gans, Noah
Author_Institution :
Technol. & Oper. Manage. Area, INSEAD, Fontainebleau, France
fYear :
2008
fDate :
7-10 Dec. 2008
Firstpage :
297
Lastpage :
304
Abstract :
This paper summarizes new analytical and empirical results for the economic approach to simulation selection problems that we introduced two years ago. The approach seeks to help managers to maximize the expected net present value (NPV) of system design decisions that are informed by simulation. It considers the time value of money, the cost of simulation sampling, and the time and cost of developing simulation tools. This economic approach to decision making with simulation is therefore an alternative to the statistical guarantees or probabilistic convergence results of other commonly-used approaches to simulation optimization. Empirical results are promising. This paper also retracts a claim that was made regarding the existence of Gittins¿ indices for these problems - their existence remains an open question.
Keywords :
decision making; economics; operations research; optimisation; statistical analysis; decision making; economic approach; expected net present value; simulation selection problems; Analytical models; Convergence; Costs; Decision making; Delay effects; Financial management; Gallium nitride; Probability; Sampling methods; Technology management;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
Conference_Location :
Austin, TX
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2707-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2708-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2008.4736081
Filename :
4736081
Link To Document :
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