DocumentCode :
2178560
Title :
Efficient simulation for tail probabilities of Gaussian random fields
Author :
Adler, Robert J. ; Blanchet, Jose ; Liu, Jingchen
Author_Institution :
Fac. of Ind. Eng. & Manage., Technion - Israel Inst. of Technol., Haifa, Israel
fYear :
2008
fDate :
7-10 Dec. 2008
Firstpage :
328
Lastpage :
336
Abstract :
We are interested in computing tail probabilities for the maxima of Gaussian random fields. In this paper, we discuss two special cases: random fields defined over a finite number of distinct point and fields with finite Karhunen-Loeve expansions. For the first case we propose an importance sampling estimator which yields asymptotically zero relative error. Moreover, it yields a procedure for sampling the field conditional on it having an excursion above a high level with a complexity that is uniformly bounded as the level increases. In the second case we propose an estimator which is asymptotically optimal. These results serve as a first step analysis of rare-event simulation for Gaussian random fields.
Keywords :
Gaussian processes; Karhunen-Loeve transforms; estimation theory; probability; sampling methods; Gaussian random fields; finite Karhunen-Loeve expansions; importance sampling estimator; rare-event simulation; tail probabilities; Computational modeling; Extraterrestrial measurements; Industrial engineering; Monte Carlo methods; Ocean temperature; Probability; Sampling methods; Sea measurements; Statistics; Tail;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference, 2008. WSC 2008. Winter
Conference_Location :
Austin, TX
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2707-9
Electronic_ISBN :
978-1-4244-2708-6
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2008.4736085
Filename :
4736085
Link To Document :
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