Approximation method and formulas for average unavailability of systems with latent faults

Author

Ramesh, Anapathur V. ; Twigg, David W. ; Sharma, Tilak C.

Author_Institution

Boeing Co., Seattle, WA, USA

fYear

2002

fDate

2002

Firstpage

460

Lastpage

466

Abstract

Approximation method and formulas are provided for the average per flight probability of failure for aircraft systems whose components can fail latently. The approximations are given for two and three component redundant systems. The accuracy of the approximate formulas is studied by comparing them to the numerical results from a Markov solver. It shows that the approximation is close to the exact result in ultra-high reliability systems for a large range of failure rates of the components. The formulas are useful in representing event combinations involving latent events in fault trees. They could also be used to estimate the average per flight failure probability of more complex systems by a combination of the rare event approximation and the application of the formulas to the minimal cutsets of the system failure event

Keywords

Markov processes; aircraft; approximation theory; fault trees; maintenance engineering; reliability; Markov solver; aircraft systems; approximation method; average per flight failure probability; average per flight probability of failure; average unavailability; event combinations; fault trees; latent events; latent faults; minimal cutsets; rare event approximation; redundant systems; scheduled maintenance; system failure event; ultra-high reliability systems; Aircraft; Approximation methods; Delay; Fault tolerant systems; Fault trees; Performance analysis; Probability; Redundancy; Safety; Upper bound;

fLanguage

English

Publisher

ieee

Conference_Titel

Reliability and Maintainability Symposium, 2002. Proceedings. Annual

Conference_Location

Seattle, WA

ISSN

0149-144X

Print_ISBN

0-7803-7348-0

Type

conf

DOI

10.1109/RAMS.2002.981686

Filename

981686