A Prediction and Influence Factor Analysis of China´s Food Production

This paper gives a prediction of future´s food production based on grey model GM (1,1) and analysis on per capita share of food. On this basis, analyzes the factors that affect food production and its influence degree by cobb-douglas production function expansion form quantitatively. Finally, we draw the conclusion that the influence factors of food production are sowing area, rural population, chemical fertilizer quantity and mechanical total power to a large extent, and put forward the countermeasures that how to stable the food production.