Title :
Prediction of stock price analyzing the online financial news using Naive Bayes classifier and local economic trends
Author :
Shihavuddin, A.S.M. ; Ambia, Mir Nahidul ; Arefin, Mir Mohammad Nazmul ; Hossain, MD Mokarrom ; Anwar, Adnan
Author_Institution :
EEE Dept., IUT, Dhaka, Bangladesh
Abstract :
Market and stock exchange news are special messages containing mainly economical and political information. This paper represents data mining algorithms which has been tested on this available information to learn useful trends about the behaviour of the stock markets. The learned trend holds the key to interpret the present and predict the next stock price. This resented work uses Naïve Bayes Algorithm to classify text news related to FTSE100 given on these mentioned websites and the classifier is trained to learn the movement in the stock price (up or down) from the news articles in the web pages of that day. Several heuristics are being used to remove irrelevant parts of the text to get a reasonable performance. This model had demonstrated a statistically significant performance in predicting stock prices compared to other previously developed methods.
Keywords :
Bayes methods; data mining; financial data processing; stock markets; data mining algorithms; economical information; naive Bayes classifier; online financial news; political information; stock price analyzing prediction; web pages; Indexes; Petroleum; Vocabulary; A priori selection; Naive bayes classifier; inductive bias; noise in stock market;
Conference_Titel :
Advanced Computer Theory and Engineering (ICACTE), 2010 3rd International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Chengdu
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-6539-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICACTE.2010.5579624