DocumentCode
2260677
Title
Predicting chaotic time series by ensemble self-generating neural networks
Author
Inoue, Hirotaka ; Narihisa, Hiroyuki
Author_Institution
Fac. of Eng., Okayama Univ. of Sci., Japan
Volume
2
fYear
2000
fDate
2000
Firstpage
231
Abstract
We introduce ensemble self-generating neural networks (ESGNNs) for chaotic time series prediction. ESGNNs combine the ensemble averaging method with SGNNs. ESGNNs create self-generating neural trees (SGNTs) to shuffle the order of given training data independently, and the network output is averaged of all SGNT outputs. We investigate the improving capability of ESGNNs for three chaotic time series, and compare them with the backpropagation neural networks. Experimental results show that using various SGNTs through the ensemble averaging method significantly improves the predictive performance of ESGNNs on diverse chaotic time series
Keywords
Chaos; Forecasting theory; Learning (artificial intelligence); Self-organising feature maps; Time series; chaotic time series prediction; ensemble averaging method; ensemble self-generating neural networks; learning; self-generating neural trees; Backpropagation; Chaos; Clustering algorithms; Computer networks; Humans; Neural networks; Neurons; Oscillators; Self organizing feature maps; Training data;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Neural Networks, 2000. IJCNN 2000, Proceedings of the IEEE-INNS-ENNS International Joint Conference on
Conference_Location
Como
ISSN
1098-7576
Print_ISBN
0-7695-0619-4
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/IJCNN.2000.857902
Filename
857902
Link To Document