DocumentCode :
2266741
Title :
Robustness Analysis of Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machine in Making Prediction
Author :
Anwar, Saiful ; Ismal, Rifki
Author_Institution :
Sch. of Finance & Banking, Dept. of Accounting, STIE Ahmad Dahlan, Jakarta, Indonesia
fYear :
2011
fDate :
26-28 May 2011
Firstpage :
256
Lastpage :
261
Abstract :
This This study aims to investigate the robustness of prediction model by comparing artificial neural networks (ANNs), and support vector machine (SVMs) model. The study employs ten years monthly data of six types of macroeconomic variables as independent variables and the average rate of return of one-month time deposit of Indonesian Islamic banks (RR) as dependent variable. Finally, the performance is evaluated through graph analysis, statistical parameters and accuracy rate measurement. This research found that ANNs outperforms SVMs empirically resulted from the training process and overall data prediction. This is indicating that ANNs model is better in the context of capturing all data pattern and explaining the volatility of RR.
Keywords :
banking; economic forecasting; economic indicators; graphs; macroeconomics; neural nets; statistical analysis; support vector machines; ANN model; Indonesian Islamic bank; SVM model; accuracy rate measurement; artificial neural network; data pattern; data prediction; graph analysis; macroeconomic variable; one-month time deposit; prediction model; rate of return; robustness analysis; statistical parameter; support vector machine; training process; Accuracy; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Neurons; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Training; Artificial Neural Networks; Islamic Bank; Rate of Return; support Vector Machine;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Parallel and Distributed Processing with Applications (ISPA), 2011 IEEE 9th International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Busan
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4577-0391-1
Electronic_ISBN :
978-0-7695-4428-1
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ISPA.2011.64
Filename :
5951915
Link To Document :
بازگشت