• DocumentCode
    2266741
  • Title

    Robustness Analysis of Artificial Neural Networks and Support Vector Machine in Making Prediction

  • Author

    Anwar, Saiful ; Ismal, Rifki

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Finance & Banking, Dept. of Accounting, STIE Ahmad Dahlan, Jakarta, Indonesia
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    26-28 May 2011
  • Firstpage
    256
  • Lastpage
    261
  • Abstract
    This This study aims to investigate the robustness of prediction model by comparing artificial neural networks (ANNs), and support vector machine (SVMs) model. The study employs ten years monthly data of six types of macroeconomic variables as independent variables and the average rate of return of one-month time deposit of Indonesian Islamic banks (RR) as dependent variable. Finally, the performance is evaluated through graph analysis, statistical parameters and accuracy rate measurement. This research found that ANNs outperforms SVMs empirically resulted from the training process and overall data prediction. This is indicating that ANNs model is better in the context of capturing all data pattern and explaining the volatility of RR.
  • Keywords
    banking; economic forecasting; economic indicators; graphs; macroeconomics; neural nets; statistical analysis; support vector machines; ANN model; Indonesian Islamic bank; SVM model; accuracy rate measurement; artificial neural network; data pattern; data prediction; graph analysis; macroeconomic variable; one-month time deposit; prediction model; rate of return; robustness analysis; statistical parameter; support vector machine; training process; Accuracy; Artificial neural networks; Data models; Neurons; Predictive models; Support vector machines; Training; Artificial Neural Networks; Islamic Bank; Rate of Return; support Vector Machine;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Parallel and Distributed Processing with Applications (ISPA), 2011 IEEE 9th International Symposium on
  • Conference_Location
    Busan
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-0391-1
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-0-7695-4428-1
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ISPA.2011.64
  • Filename
    5951915