Title :
A comparison of computational intelligence techniques for energy time series forecasting
Author :
Namdar, Abbas ; Berenji, Hamid
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Econ. & Administrative Sci., Univ. of Mazandaran, Babolsar, Iran
Abstract :
Energy time series forecasting plays a crucial role in the process of energy planning. This topic has been, and is still attracting vast research activities that are performed by researchers in the academia and energy companies. Various techniques exist for energy time series forecasting, and the selection of the most suitable forecasting algorithm is not an easy process. For a clear application of such techniques in energy time series forecasting, there should be a clear distinction between these techniques. This paper compares the overall performance of the Time Delay Neural Network (TDNN), Neuro Fuzzy Inference System and Support Vector Regression (SVR). The efficiency of these techniques is compared in energy time series forecasting, and the performances of them are tested. The results of our analysis indicate that the Time Delay Neural network (TDNN) shows the best performances overall.
Keywords :
energy consumption; fuzzy reasoning; load forecasting; neural nets; power engineering computing; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; SVR; TDNN; computational intelligence techniques; energy planning; energy time series forecasting; neuro fuzzy inference system; support vector regression; time delay neural network; Computational modeling; Data models; Energy consumption; Forecasting; Mathematical model; Predictive models; Time series analysis; Comparison; Computational Intelligence; Energy; Forecasting; Time series;
Conference_Titel :
Fuzzy Systems (FUZZ-IEEE), 2014 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Beijing
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-2073-0
DOI :
10.1109/FUZZ-IEEE.2014.6891837