• DocumentCode
    2273627
  • Title

    Is news the main reason why momentum and reversal take place in the stock market?

  • Author

    Wu, Chengyao ; Li, Xindan ; Liu, Haifei

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Manage. & Eng., Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China
  • Volume
    6
  • fYear
    2010
  • fDate
    10-12 Aug. 2010
  • Firstpage
    2912
  • Lastpage
    2915
  • Abstract
    This paper focuses on discovering the main reason why the momentum and reversal take place in the stock market. Taking into consideration of the character of behavior of the investors, we set up dynamic models to describe the investing activities of both informed trader and uninformed trader with bounded rationality. On the foundation of the study on the stability of the investment model and observing the evolutionary process in controlled laboratory market, we find that the sensitive responses of informed traders could keep the market momentum, and the increasing in the decision weight of uninformed traders is the main reason why the reversal occurs, which could also account for the appearance of contrarian traders before reversals.
  • Keywords
    investment; stock markets; bounded rationality; dynamic models; evolutionary process; informed trader model; investment model; market momentum; market revesal; stock market; stock market news; uninformed trader model; Bifurcation; Chaos; Decision making; Finance; Investments; Stock markets; Informationy; decision weight; momentum; reversal;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Natural Computation (ICNC), 2010 Sixth International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Yantai, Shandong
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-5958-2
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICNC.2010.5582396
  • Filename
    5582396