DocumentCode
2273627
Title
Is news the main reason why momentum and reversal take place in the stock market?
Author
Wu, Chengyao ; Li, Xindan ; Liu, Haifei
Author_Institution
Sch. of Manage. & Eng., Nanjing Univ., Nanjing, China
Volume
6
fYear
2010
fDate
10-12 Aug. 2010
Firstpage
2912
Lastpage
2915
Abstract
This paper focuses on discovering the main reason why the momentum and reversal take place in the stock market. Taking into consideration of the character of behavior of the investors, we set up dynamic models to describe the investing activities of both informed trader and uninformed trader with bounded rationality. On the foundation of the study on the stability of the investment model and observing the evolutionary process in controlled laboratory market, we find that the sensitive responses of informed traders could keep the market momentum, and the increasing in the decision weight of uninformed traders is the main reason why the reversal occurs, which could also account for the appearance of contrarian traders before reversals.
Keywords
investment; stock markets; bounded rationality; dynamic models; evolutionary process; informed trader model; investment model; market momentum; market revesal; stock market; stock market news; uninformed trader model; Bifurcation; Chaos; Decision making; Finance; Investments; Stock markets; Informationy; decision weight; momentum; reversal;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Natural Computation (ICNC), 2010 Sixth International Conference on
Conference_Location
Yantai, Shandong
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-5958-2
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICNC.2010.5582396
Filename
5582396
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