Title :
Out-of-equilibrium price dynamics and the inflationary process
Author :
de Oliveira Aggio, Gustavo ; Ballini, Rosangela ; Gomide, Fernando
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Econ., Univ. of Campinas, São Paulo, Brazil
Abstract :
Out-of-equilibrium price dynamics are studied using agent-based computational models. We examine how agents with bounded rationality act in an environment in which they do not know precisely both relative prices and the level of the prices. We model imprecision and uncertainty with fuzzy numbers and use the theory of probabilistic sets as part of the simulation model. Our results explain both positive and negative correlations between output and inflation based on consumer behavior.
Keywords :
consumer behaviour; fuzzy set theory; inflation (monetary); multi-agent systems; number theory; pricing; probability; agent-based computational models; bounded rationality act; consumer behavior; fuzzy numbers; inflationary process; out-of-equilibrium price dynamics; probabilistic set theory; Biological system modeling; Computational modeling; Correlation; Economics; Probabilistic logic; Trajectory; Uncertainty; agent-based model; fuzzy number; inflation; price dynamics; probabilistc sets;
Conference_Titel :
Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering and Economics (CIFEr), 2011 IEEE Symposium on
Conference_Location :
Paris
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-9933-5
DOI :
10.1109/CIFER.2011.5953559