Title :
A Hybrid Support Vector Regression for Time Series Forecasting
Author :
Xiang, Ling ; Zhu, Yongli ; Tang, Gui-Ji
Author_Institution :
Mech. Eng. Dept., North China Electr. Power Univ., Baoding, China
Abstract :
The study applies a novel neural network technique, hybrid support vector regression (SVR), to forecast values of the turbo-generator vibration in time series. The simulation experiment results showed that the hybrid model is superior to the individual models for the test. Most of the individual models evaluated showed poor ability to detect directional change. This problem can be overcome with the use of the hybrid model. Besides superior turning point detectability, the hybrid model could achieve superior predictive performance and showed promising results. Therefore, the results suggested that the proposed hybrid model is typically a reliable forecasting tool for application within the forecasting fields of time series.
Keywords :
forecasting theory; neural nets; regression analysis; support vector machines; time series; turbogenerators; vibrations; forecasting tool; hybrid support vector regression; neural network; superior predictive performance; superior turning point detectability; time series forecasting; turbo-generator vibration; Condition monitoring; Control engineering education; Laboratories; Neural networks; Power generation; Predictive models; Risk management; Software engineering; Support vector machine classification; Support vector machines; Hybrid model; Neural networks; Support vector regression (SVR); Time series prediction;
Conference_Titel :
Software Engineering, 2009. WCSE '09. WRI World Congress on
Conference_Location :
Xiamen
Print_ISBN :
978-0-7695-3570-8
DOI :
10.1109/WCSE.2009.130