Title :
A combining condition prediction model and its application in power plant
Author :
Dong, Yu-Lung ; Gu, Wu-Jiong ; Yang, Kun ; Zhang, Wen-Kun
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Power Eng., North China Electr. Power Univ., Beijing, China
Abstract :
Aiming at the problem that the equipment in power plant is complex and difficult to predict their conditions accurately, a model of combining condition prediction for equipment in power plant based on grey GM (1,1) model and BP neural network is proposed on the basis of characteristic condition parameters extraction. By fully using the operating parameters, condition monitoring parameters and operation statistic parameters, the conditions of equipment are predicted. Applying the model to the fluid coupling subsystem of a feed-water system, the result shows that this model has high efficiency and precision. The predicted results can be used to provide powerful support in realizing condition-based maintenance.
Keywords :
backpropagation; computerised monitoring; condition monitoring; maintenance engineering; neural nets; power engineering computing; power system measurement; BP neural network; condition monitoring parameters; condition prediction model; feed-water system; fluid coupling subsystem; grey GM (1,1) model; operation statistic parameters; power plant equipment; Condition monitoring; Differential equations; Neural networks; Parameter extraction; Power engineering; Power generation; Power system modeling; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Statistics;
Conference_Titel :
Machine Learning and Cybernetics, 2004. Proceedings of 2004 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-8403-2
DOI :
10.1109/ICMLC.2004.1380389