Title :
Time series prediction using Lyapunov exponents in embedding phase space
Author :
Zhang, Jun ; Man, K.F. ; Ke, J.Y.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electron. Eng., City Univ. of Hong Kong, Howloon, Hong Kong
Abstract :
In this paper, a multidimension chaotic time series prediction method using Lyapunov exponents in phase space is proposed. The method is based on the fundamental characteristic of chaotic behaviour that sensitive dependence upon initial conditions (SDUIC) and Lyapunov exponents are the measure of the SDUIC in a chaotic system. The fundamental characteristic of chaotic time series is analyzed, the proposal method is deduced. Numerical experimental results show that the proposed method is simple, practical and effective
Keywords :
Lyapunov methods; chaos; phase space methods; prediction theory; time series; Lyapunov exponents; chaotic system; fundamental characteristics; multidimension chaos; phase space; time series prediction; Chaos; Extraterrestrial measurements; Orbits; Prediction methods; Predictive models; Proposals; State-space methods; Time measurement; Time series analysis; Trajectory;
Conference_Titel :
Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, 1998. 1998 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
San Diego, CA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-4778-1
DOI :
10.1109/ICSMC.1998.728146