• DocumentCode
    232442
  • Title

    Study on combination forecasting of gas daily load based on the generalized dynamic fuzzy neural network

  • Author

    Chen Hongli ; Wang Ziyuan ; Yu Pei

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Autom., Harbin Eng. Univ., Harbin, China
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    28-30 July 2014
  • Firstpage
    6235
  • Lastpage
    6239
  • Abstract
    A method based on elliptic basis function, which is a combination forecasting of gas daily load based on the GD-FNN, is proposed. Prior knowledge of fuzzy neural structure isn´t needed, nor does pre-training. It builds models by online adaptive learning algorithm completely. Nonlinear combination of weights is obtained through the network dynamic learning, which is based on the principle of minimum total error, and is not limited to the nonlinear weights. The recurrent neural network can make the training speedy, the learning algorithm simple, and the relative error fluctuations of the gradient regression neural network stable; besides, less information is needed in the gray forecasting. In addition, it can weaken the randomness of the data, by selecting the three single forecasting methods: GRNN, gray GRNN and gradient GRNN to predict the daily load and take its output as the input of GD-FNN. The system simulation experiments prove that the proposed method is of high efficiency.
  • Keywords
    fuzzy neural nets; gas industry; gradient methods; learning (artificial intelligence); natural gas technology; recurrent neural nets; regression analysis; GD-FNN; elliptic basis function; fuzzy neural structure; gas daily load combination forecasting; generalized dynamic fuzzy neural network; gradient GRNN; gradient regression neural network stability; gray GRNN; gray forecasting; minimum total error; network dynamic learning; nonlinear weight combination; online adaptive learning algorithm; recurrent neural network; relative error fluctuations; Forecasting; Fuzzy neural networks; Heuristic algorithms; Load modeling; Neural networks; Predictive models; Training; GD-FNN; Gray GRNN; gradient GRNN;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Control Conference (CCC), 2014 33rd Chinese
  • Conference_Location
    Nanjing
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ChiCC.2014.6896012
  • Filename
    6896012