DocumentCode :
2333305
Title :
Local prediction of chaotic time series based on Gaussian processes
Author :
Lau, K.W. ; Wu, Q.H.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng. & Electron., Liverpool Univ., UK
Volume :
2
fYear :
2002
fDate :
2002
Firstpage :
1309
Abstract :
Prediction of chaotic time series has received much attention during the last decade. This paper reviews local linear model and support vector regression based predictors and proposes a method to improve phase space prediction of chaotic time series by applying the Gaussian processes locally. The proposed algorithm is applied to noisy Henon time series and a laser experiment respectively. It provides a relatively better prediction performance in comparison with the conventional method.
Keywords :
Gaussian processes; Henon mapping; chaos; laser noise; laser theory; optical chaos; phase space methods; prediction theory; statistical analysis; time series; Gaussian processes; chaotic time series; laser experiment; local linear model based predictors; local prediction; noisy Henon time series; phase space prediction; prediction performance; support vector regression based predictors; Bayesian methods; Chaos; Cost function; Gaussian noise; Gaussian processes; Laser modes; Loss measurement; Neural networks; Predictive models; Vectors;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Control Applications, 2002. Proceedings of the 2002 International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7386-3
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/CCA.2002.1038796
Filename :
1038796
Link To Document :
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