Title :
Application of Pruned Bilinear Recurrent Neural Network to load prediction
Author :
Kim, Jae-Young ; Park, Dong-Chul ; Woo, Dong-Min
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electron. Eng., Myong Ji Univ., Yong In, South Korea
Abstract :
Prediction of electric load by using Pruned Bilinear Recurrent Neural Network (PBRNN) is proposed and presented in this paper. The PBRNN was developed to alleviate the computational cost associated with the Bilinear Recurrent Neural Network by using a pruning procedure. Since electric loads have a time-series characteristic, a prediction scheme based on the PBRNN can be an optimal candidate for the electric load prediction problem. Experiments are conducted on a load data set from the North-American Electric Utility (NAEU). Results show that the Pruned BRNN-based prediction scheme outperforms the conventional Multi- Layer Perceptron Type Neural Network (MLPNN) in terms of the Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE).
Keywords :
load forecasting; power engineering computing; recurrent neural nets; time series; North-American Electric Utility; electric load prediction; mean absolute percentage error; multilayer perceptron type neural network; pruned bilinear recurrent neural network; pruning procedure; time-series characteristic; Artificial neural networks; Biological cells; Forecasting; Load forecasting; Load modeling; Predictive models; Recurrent neural networks; neural network; prediction; prune; utility;
Conference_Titel :
Computer Systems and Applications (AICCSA), 2010 IEEE/ACS International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Hammamet
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4244-7716-6
DOI :
10.1109/AICCSA.2010.5586969