DocumentCode
2344107
Title
Simulation of the dynamic model of energy consumption structure in different periods in China
Author
Haining, Wang ; Huifeng, Xue
Author_Institution
Coll. of Autom., Northwestern Polytech. Univ., Xi´´an
fYear
2008
fDate
24-27 Nov. 2008
Firstpage
669
Lastpage
673
Abstract
This paper sets up a dynamic model of energy consumption structure in China and selects two different groups of data to simulate and forecast the trend of the energy consumption structure. The forecast result is that the consumption rate of coal will decrease, while the rates of electricity, natural gas and petroleum will increase. Because the two groups of data are from different periods, there is a little discrepancy between the two forecast results. By comparing and analyzing the restriction and impetus of energy consumption of different periods in China, this paper explores the effective pattern of the development of energy in the future. Therefore, itpsilas necessary for our state to take some measures, such as to regulate the industrial structure, to raise the level of science and technology, innovating system and mechanism to change the existing structure of energy consumption, finally, to achieve the sustainable development of Chinapsilas energy consumption.
Keywords
coal; natural gas technology; petroleum; power consumption; power system simulation; China; coal; dynamic model; electricity rates; energy consumption structure; natural gas; petroleum; Economic forecasting; Energy consumption; Energy resolution; Environmental economics; Fuel economy; Load forecasting; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Supply and demand; Systems engineering and theory;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Sustainable Energy Technologies, 2008. ICSET 2008. IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location
Singapore
Print_ISBN
978-1-4244-1887-9
Electronic_ISBN
978-1-4244-1888-6
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/ICSET.2008.4747091
Filename
4747091
Link To Document