• DocumentCode
    2344107
  • Title

    Simulation of the dynamic model of energy consumption structure in different periods in China

  • Author

    Haining, Wang ; Huifeng, Xue

  • Author_Institution
    Coll. of Autom., Northwestern Polytech. Univ., Xi´´an
  • fYear
    2008
  • fDate
    24-27 Nov. 2008
  • Firstpage
    669
  • Lastpage
    673
  • Abstract
    This paper sets up a dynamic model of energy consumption structure in China and selects two different groups of data to simulate and forecast the trend of the energy consumption structure. The forecast result is that the consumption rate of coal will decrease, while the rates of electricity, natural gas and petroleum will increase. Because the two groups of data are from different periods, there is a little discrepancy between the two forecast results. By comparing and analyzing the restriction and impetus of energy consumption of different periods in China, this paper explores the effective pattern of the development of energy in the future. Therefore, itpsilas necessary for our state to take some measures, such as to regulate the industrial structure, to raise the level of science and technology, innovating system and mechanism to change the existing structure of energy consumption, finally, to achieve the sustainable development of Chinapsilas energy consumption.
  • Keywords
    coal; natural gas technology; petroleum; power consumption; power system simulation; China; coal; dynamic model; electricity rates; energy consumption structure; natural gas; petroleum; Economic forecasting; Energy consumption; Energy resolution; Environmental economics; Fuel economy; Load forecasting; Power generation economics; Predictive models; Supply and demand; Systems engineering and theory;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Sustainable Energy Technologies, 2008. ICSET 2008. IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Singapore
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1887-9
  • Electronic_ISBN
    978-1-4244-1888-6
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSET.2008.4747091
  • Filename
    4747091