A Comparative Study between "Prediction-Response" and "Scenario-Response" in Unconventional Emergency Decision-Making Management

In recent years, unconventional emergency exploded frequently, and had shown the complexity and enormous destruction, and other significant characteristics. It had a great impact on people\´s daily life and social security and stability. Humans lack of adequate cognition of what kind of event state, the possibilities of its appearance and its harm degrees. The traditional "prediction-response" mode would help decision-makers take an effective judgment on the possibility of evolution of unconventional emergency evolution, but there are some errors. Started with the definition of "prediction-response" and "scenario-response", this article mainly compares the differences between these decision-making management methods, and then we put forward a new emergency decision-making thought of "scenario-response" that based on "prediction-response".