Title :
Beating the best: A neural network challenges the Black-Scholes formula
Author :
Malliaris, Mary ; Salchenberger, Linda
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Manage. Sci., Loyola Univ., Chicago, IL, USA
Abstract :
A neural network model which processes financial input data is presented to estimate the market price of options. The network´s ability to estimate option prices is compared to estimates generated by the Black-Scholes model, a traditional financial model. Comparisons reveal that the neural network outperforms the Black-Scholes model in about half of the cases examined. While the two modeling approaches differ fundamentally in their methodology for determining option prices, some common results emerge. While the neural network performs better than Black-Scholes on prices out-of-the-money, estimations near the expiration data are accurate for both
Keywords :
financial data processing; neural nets; stock markets; Black-Scholes model; expiration data; financial input data; neural network model; options market price estimation; Artificial intelligence; Economic indicators; Gaussian distribution; Input variables; Mathematical model; Neural networks; Pricing; Prototypes; Robustness; Testing;
Conference_Titel :
Artificial Intelligence for Applications, 1993. Proceedings., Ninth Conference on
Conference_Location :
Orlando, FL
Print_ISBN :
0-8186-3840-0
DOI :
10.1109/CAIA.1993.366633