Title :
On the inevitability of probability for expert systems: An analysis based on social theory of knowledge
Author_Institution :
Ind. Manage. Group, Indian Inst. of Technol., Bombay, India
Abstract :
The author deals with the thesis of V. Lindley on the inevitability of the probability approach to the treatment of uncertainty in AI and expert systems. The specific arguments given by Lindley for such a stand are analyzed in the light of a social theory of knowledge, a view of knowledge proposed by David Bloor based on Wittgenstein´s later philosophical works. By doing a philosophical analysis of Lindley´s stand on this issue, a case is made for a sound philosophical basis of fuzzy logic. The constructive direction evolved through the philosophical analysis is the need for an effective representation of the family of probability concepts in decision support systems. In this context, a design framework for such a representation has been proposed using a logic programming language
Keywords :
expert systems; fuzzy logic; philosophical aspects; probability; uncertainty handling; decision support systems; expert systems; fuzzy logic; logic programming language; philosophical analysis; probability approach; social theory; uncertainty; Artificial intelligence; Bayesian methods; Decision support systems; Expert systems; Fuzzy logic; Knowledge management; Logic programming; Probabilistic logic; Technology management; Uncertainty;
Conference_Titel :
Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, 1993. Proceedings., Second International Symposium on
Conference_Location :
College Park, MD
Print_ISBN :
0-8186-3850-8
DOI :
10.1109/ISUMA.1993.366744
