Title :
Nonlinear combination of travel-time prediction model based on wavelet network
Author_Institution :
Inst. of Intelligent Inf. Eng., Zhejiang Univ., Hangzhou, China
Abstract :
In the paper, research is focused on a combination of artificial neural network and Kalman filtering theory with application to real-time travel-time prediction model. ANN forecasters and Kalman filtering can model the complicated relationship between travel-time and traffic volume in related links. To enhance the prediction accuracy of these models, a nonlinear combination prediction approach of these two models is proposed based on wavelet networks. The performance of the novel model is tested by real detected traffic data or the links in the urban road networks. The results indicate that combination strategies based on the wavelet network outperform the other approaches.
Keywords :
Kalman filters; backpropagation; filtering theory; forecasting theory; neural nets; road traffic; transportation; wavelet transforms; Kalman filtering; artificial neural network; nonlinear combination; prediction accuracy; real-time prediction model; traffic volume; travel-time prediction model; urban road networks; wavelet network; Accuracy; Artificial neural networks; Economic forecasting; Intelligent transportation systems; Navigation; Neural networks; Predictive models; Roads; Testing; Traffic control;
Conference_Titel :
Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2002. Proceedings. The IEEE 5th International Conference on
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-7389-8
DOI :
10.1109/ITSC.2002.1041311