• DocumentCode
    2386302
  • Title

    Consistent measurement of economic losses of a natural disaster considering the effect of change in price

  • Author

    Nakano, Kazuyoshi ; Kajitani, Yoshio ; Tatano, Hirokazu

  • Author_Institution
    Socio-Econ. Res. Center, Central Res. Inst. of Electr. Power Ind., Tokyo, Japan
  • fYear
    2011
  • fDate
    9-12 Oct. 2011
  • Firstpage
    3489
  • Lastpage
    3494
  • Abstract
    In order to evaluate the overall economic impact of a natural disaster considering the recovery process, attention needs to be paid to the problem of double counting of economic losses. For this purpose, it is necessary to answer the following research questions: (1) how does a natural disaster impact the economy at each phase of the disaster and recovery, and (2) how do you consistently evaluate overall economic losses of all stakeholders during the recovery process. Methods for avoiding double counting of losses are referred to as “consistent measurement” of economic losses and have been increasingly studied recently. This paper aims to extend the consistent measurement method considering the effect of price change in consumer goods and services, and demonstrates how to consistently measure the overall economic losses stemming from a natural disaster. It concludes that the overall losses can be measured consistently by adding the cost of recovery, forgone profit, and decrease in the value of income transfer due to a price change.
  • Keywords
    disasters; econometrics; pricing; profitability; consistent measurement; consumer goods; consumer services; double counting; economic losses; forgone profit; income transfer; measurement method; natural disaster; overall economic impact; price change; recovery cost; recovery process; Biological system modeling; Economics; Industries; Loss measurement; Power systems; Production; Transportation; consistent measurement; double counting; economic losses; natual disaster;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Systems, Man, and Cybernetics (SMC), 2011 IEEE International Conference on
  • Conference_Location
    Anchorage, AK
  • ISSN
    1062-922X
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4577-0652-3
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/ICSMC.2011.6084209
  • Filename
    6084209