DocumentCode :
238987
Title :
Computational probability applications
Author :
Leemis, Lawrence M.
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Math., Coll. of William & Mary, Williamsburg, VA, USA
fYear :
2014
fDate :
7-10 Dec. 2014
Firstpage :
51
Lastpage :
65
Abstract :
There is a boundary separating analytic methodology and simulation methodology. If a problem involves the flipping of coins or the rolling of dice, for example, analytic methods are generally employed. If a problem involves a complex series of queues with a nonstationary arrival stream, discrete-event simulation methods are generally employed. This tutorial considers problems that are near the boundary between analytic methods and simulation methods. We use the Maple-based APPL (A Probability Programming Language) to perform operations on random variables to address these problems. The problems considered are the infinite bootstrap, the probability distribution of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistic, the distribution of the time to complete a stochastic activity network, finding a lower bound on system reliability, Benford´s law, finding the probability distribution and variance-covariance matrix of sojourn times in a queueing model, probability distribution relationships, testing random numbers, bivariate transformations, and autoregressive moving average time series models.
Keywords :
autoregressive moving average processes; covariance matrices; discrete event simulation; mathematics computing; queueing theory; statistical distributions; stochastic processes; time series; Benford law; Kolmogorov-Smirnov test statistic; Maple-based APPL; a probability programming language; analytic methodology; autoregressive moving average time series models; bivariate transformations; computational probability applications; discrete-event simulation methods; nonstationary arrival stream; probability distribution; queueing model; random number testing; simulation methodology; sojourn times; stochastic activity network; system reliability; variance-covariance matrix; Autoregressive processes; Computational modeling; Distribution functions; Probability distribution; Random variables; Standards;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Simulation Conference (WSC), 2014 Winter
Conference_Location :
Savanah, GA
Print_ISBN :
978-1-4799-7484-9
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/WSC.2014.7019877
Filename :
7019877
Link To Document :
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