• DocumentCode
    239068
  • Title

    Rare event probability estimation for connectivity of large random graphs

  • Author

    Shah, Rohan ; Hirsch, Christian ; Kroese, Dirk P. ; Schmidt, Volker

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Math. & Phys., Univ. of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    7-10 Dec. 2014
  • Firstpage
    510
  • Lastpage
    521
  • Abstract
    Spatial statistical models are of considerable practical and theoretical interest. However, there has been little work on rare-event probability estimation for such models. In this paper we present a conditional Monte Carlo algorithm for the estimation of the probability that random graphs related to Bernoulli and continuum percolation are connected. Numerical results are presented showing that the conditional Monte Carlo estimators significantly outperform the crude simulation estimators.
  • Keywords
    Monte Carlo methods; estimation theory; graph theory; probability; statistical analysis; Bernoulli percolation; conditional Monte Carlo algorithm; continuum percolation; random graph connectivity; rare event probability estimation; spatial statistical models; Adaptation models; Computational modeling; Educational institutions; Monte Carlo methods; Numerical models; Random variables; Reliability;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), 2014 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Savanah, GA
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-7484-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2014.7019916
  • Filename
    7019916