DocumentCode
239496
Title
Past and Future Trees: Structures for predicting vehicle trajectories in real-time
Author
Pecher, Philip ; Hunter, Michael ; Fujimoto, Richard
Author_Institution
Sch. of Ind. & Syst. Eng., Georgia Inst. of Technol., Atlanta, GA, USA
fYear
2014
fDate
7-10 Dec. 2014
Firstpage
2884
Lastpage
2895
Abstract
We propose a data structure that stores previously observed vehicle paths in a given area in order to predict the forward trajectory of an observed vehicle at any stage. Incomplete vehicle trajectories are conditioned against in a Past Tree, to predict future trajectories in another tree structure - a Future Tree. Many use cases in transportation simulation benefit from higher validity by considering historical paths in determining how to route vehicle entities. Instead of assigning static and independent turn probabilities at intersections, the storage and retrieval of historical path information can give a more accurate picture of future traffic trends and enhance the capabilities of real-time simulations to, say, inform mobile phone users of expected traffic jams along certain segments, direct the search efforts of law enforcement personnel, or allow more effective synchronization of traffic signals.
Keywords
road traffic; traffic information systems; tree data structures; Past Tree; data structure; historical path information; mobile phone; traffic jams; traffic trends; transportation simulation; tree structure; vehicle trajectory; Computational modeling; Data models; Predictive models; Roads; Trajectory; Vehicles;
fLanguage
English
Publisher
ieee
Conference_Titel
Simulation Conference (WSC), 2014 Winter
Conference_Location
Savanah, GA
Print_ISBN
978-1-4799-7484-9
Type
conf
DOI
10.1109/WSC.2014.7020129
Filename
7020129
Link To Document