• DocumentCode
    239496
  • Title

    Past and Future Trees: Structures for predicting vehicle trajectories in real-time

  • Author

    Pecher, Philip ; Hunter, Michael ; Fujimoto, Richard

  • Author_Institution
    Sch. of Ind. & Syst. Eng., Georgia Inst. of Technol., Atlanta, GA, USA
  • fYear
    2014
  • fDate
    7-10 Dec. 2014
  • Firstpage
    2884
  • Lastpage
    2895
  • Abstract
    We propose a data structure that stores previously observed vehicle paths in a given area in order to predict the forward trajectory of an observed vehicle at any stage. Incomplete vehicle trajectories are conditioned against in a Past Tree, to predict future trajectories in another tree structure - a Future Tree. Many use cases in transportation simulation benefit from higher validity by considering historical paths in determining how to route vehicle entities. Instead of assigning static and independent turn probabilities at intersections, the storage and retrieval of historical path information can give a more accurate picture of future traffic trends and enhance the capabilities of real-time simulations to, say, inform mobile phone users of expected traffic jams along certain segments, direct the search efforts of law enforcement personnel, or allow more effective synchronization of traffic signals.
  • Keywords
    road traffic; traffic information systems; tree data structures; Past Tree; data structure; historical path information; mobile phone; traffic jams; traffic trends; transportation simulation; tree structure; vehicle trajectory; Computational modeling; Data models; Predictive models; Roads; Trajectory; Vehicles;
  • fLanguage
    English
  • Publisher
    ieee
  • Conference_Titel
    Simulation Conference (WSC), 2014 Winter
  • Conference_Location
    Savanah, GA
  • Print_ISBN
    978-1-4799-7484-9
  • Type

    conf

  • DOI
    10.1109/WSC.2014.7020129
  • Filename
    7020129