Title :
State-of-the-art of electricity price forecasting
Author :
Li, Guang ; Liu, Chen-Ching ; Lawarree, Jacques ; Gallanti, Massimo ; Venturini, Andrea
Author_Institution :
Dept. of Electr. Eng., Washington Univ., Seattle, WA
Abstract :
Since the deregulation of the electricity power industry, many methods and techniques have been developed to forecast the electricity prices in the competitive environment. This paper classifies and compares different techniques in the literature of electricity price forecasting. The information is summarized based on the technical objectives, scope, time horizon, input data and the level of accuracy. The methods and techniques for electricity price forecasting are categorized into equilibrium analysis, simulation methods, time series, econometric methods, intelligent systems, and volatility analysis
Keywords :
electricity supply industry deregulation; load forecasting; power system economics; time series; econometric methods; electricity power industry deregulation; electricity price forecasting; equilibrium analysis; intelligent systems; simulation methods; time horizon; time series; volatility analysis; Analytical models; Computational modeling; Contracts; Economic forecasting; Power generation economics; Power system economics; Power system modeling; Power system simulation; Predictive models; Risk management;
Conference_Titel :
CIGRE/IEEE PES, 2005. International Symposium
Conference_Location :
New Orleans, LA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-9191-8
DOI :
10.1109/CIGRE.2005.1532733