DocumentCode :
2439913
Title :
Simultaneous prediction of multiple financial time series using supervised learning and chaos theory
Author :
Edmonds, Andrew N. ; Burkhardt, Diana ; Adjei, Osei
Author_Institution :
Prophecy Syst. Ltd., Olney, UK
Volume :
5
fYear :
1994
fDate :
June 27 1994-July 2 1994
Firstpage :
3158
Abstract :
"Embedded" time series are often used with neural networks or other supervised learning algorithms to generate predictions. Work in chaos theory has pointed to methods of determining the optimal embedding parameters for individual time series. The hypothesis is explored that these methods also hold when multiple time series are used together to generate a prediction, and that the optima for the individual series combined are the optimum for the group. A novel prediction explanation mechanism is described. Examples will be taken from foreign exchange time series, and the analyses will be performed using The Prophet, a time series prediction program.<>
Keywords :
chaos; finance; forecasting theory; learning (artificial intelligence); neural nets; time series; The Prophet; chaos theory; embedded time series; foreign exchange time series; multiple financial time series simultaneous prediction; neural networks; optimal embedding parameters; prediction explanation; supervised learning; supervised learning algorithms; time series prediction program; Ambient intelligence; Chaos; Delta modulation; Mutual information; Nonlinear dynamical systems; Shape; Smoothing methods; Supervised learning; Trajectory;
fLanguage :
English
Publisher :
ieee
Conference_Titel :
Neural Networks, 1994. IEEE World Congress on Computational Intelligence., 1994 IEEE International Conference on
Conference_Location :
Orlando, FL, USA
Print_ISBN :
0-7803-1901-X
Type :
conf
DOI :
10.1109/ICNN.1994.374739
Filename :
374739
Link To Document :
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